Monday, February 8, 2016

Will Donal Trump Kill the Republican Party?

On the Democrat side it seems to be a coin flip between Hillary and Sanders. On the Republican side? The party is such a train wreck that Donald Trump appears to be the front runner. As incredulous as it sounds an utter incompetent politician (who's never actually been a politician), could conceivably be the next President. Trump's credentials are essentially Mill when it comes to running a country, which is by large utterly different than a large corporation. What's worse is that he is gaining popularity among the uneducated Republican voting class. It goes to show that soothsayers can win votes if the run an effective campaign that captures media attention through celebrity tactics. It's not so much the content, rather the taglines. It's not about the death of ideas, but how easily they can be understood by, again, a largely uneducated voting pool. I can't imagine how feels right now to be a Republican I literally watch your party implode. In that regard this is perhaps the best thing that could happen to them because it will open the door to complete reform. This might be the shift needed change Republican party forever. Frankly, this country needs it, because as it stands right now they have utterly totally and completely lost their way.

Monday, January 11, 2016

Why Nobody knows anything about peak oil or future oil pricing

as major world oil prices of around $30 a barrel, pundits are all over the map when it comes to predicting where the price goes in the future. Who can we trust? Where will price go any year? Into years? And five years? In 10 years? Everybody seems to want to have their say but nobody seems to be able to predict future prices of any sense. Occam's razor depends on choosing the simplest answer as being the most reliable. Let's take a look at the simplest answer to world oil. Price is purely based on demand. That's fundamental economics 101. World demand for oil, because of the overall economic output decline, is down. In fact, there doesn't appear to be any robust economy ready to eat up the excess supply that's currently on the market. It doesn't help that one of the world's largest economies is slowing down, that being China, I'm slowing down quickly. With demand is the other side as I already mentioned: supply. Demand is decreased worldwide yet supply has increased. The United States has produced nearly double the amount of oil from their new shale exploits. Iraq is pumping oil, Saudi Arabia's not slowing, Russia won't decrease production, OPEC will not curtail. Iran will potentially come on the market when their sanctions are lifted. Because everybody is working on the further themselves, the are all trying to take as much money as they can add to current oil prices. If you can turn profit on your creative then do it now as fast as you can; that's the current mindset. That leaves many expensive producers such as the Canadian oilsands on the outside looking in. This means apart from a catastrophe in the major oil regions, the price is likely to be depressed for a very long time and perhaps we should get used to new lows we are used to seeing 20 years ago. not only is demand diminished, the production is increasing globally. If you recall in the 1970s as many cried the end of oil production (because peak oil had been reached), the sky hasn't fallen. Once again the simplest answer is about should be looking at. The reason why we haven't hit peak oil, and may never, is because technology continues to improve meaning we can extract more oil from existing resources, existing resources wind up being bigger than we originally thought, and we keep finding new oil. What's more likely to happen, run in the scarcity of oil, as the production of a new energy that Is cheaper than oil. It's also conceivable that the clean energy sources will be ones that developed nations choose to develop and invest in. So get used to lower oil prices and hopefully you're economy is not dependent on the oil sector. It's your stay.

Monday, November 9, 2015

The oil conundrum and climate change: the Exxon ruse

I don't think it would come as a surprise to anybody that the oil industry would work hard to mitigate any prospective or information that can harm their industry. In fact, corporations largely operate with their own interests in mind, or rather in the interests of the shareholders. As a scientific data becomes overwhelming to the point that deniers now looks stupid, we're just coming out that many oil companies including the giant Exxon, New decades ago that climate change was a real event. Some have even dubbed the ruse by Exxon as the overwhelming worst thing a corporation has ever done in the history of the world. That's a tall order to achieve get the lights of the tobacco industry. but it seems that over the past four decades Exxon has gone out of its way to ensure their activities and bottom line were protected. Is a weather not the recent allegations will have any effect on the company but one thing we know for sure is that given the recent drop in demand of oil the future demand seems to be slowing. Every decade there is another call for the end of oil and even the end of peak oil, but in reality all use won't be going away anytime soon but its dominance is slowly eroding. That means Exxon and others will slowly be pushed out of the picture simply because of a demand problem cannot because they intentionally altered the world climate. Can you imagine if this type of allegation ever ended up in a court? Only would've be tied up in litigation for decades upon decades, the penalty that would eventually come down (if it ever did) would likely not mounted very much in comparison to the alleged impact.

Thursday, August 20, 2015

July 2015 Warmest Month on Record. Take that climate deniers.

Right wing Christian fundamentalists, who prefer their individualized brand of 'Christianity' over the facts (ironically), will deny the evidence, but here it is: the Earth is getting warmer. The consensus is overwhelming despite what the crazy old man down the street might say (and the only people who deny are crazy old men now....). The NOAA released their data and July 2015 is the warmest EVER on record for the globe. Naysayers will suggest that the Earth has been warmer since we only have records going back 100 years, surely at some point in the past it's been warmer, now excuse me as I fill up my SUV.
Global highlights: Year-to-date (January–July 2015) The year-to-date temperature combined across global land and ocean surfaces was 1.53°F (0.85°C) above the 20th century average. This was the highest for January–July in the 1880–2015 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2010 by 0.16°F (0.09°C). The year-to-date globally-averaged land surface temperature was 2.41°F (1.34°C) above the 20th century average. This was the highest for January–July in the 1880–2015 record, surpassing the previous record of 2007 by 0.27°F (0.15°C). The year-to-date globally-averaged sea surface temperature was 1.21°F (0.67°C) above the 20th century average. This was also the highest for January–July in the 1880–2015 record, surpassing the previous record of 2010 by 0.11°F (0.06°C). Every major ocean basin observed record warmth in some areas. For extended analysis of global temperature and precipitation patterns, please see our full July report.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Pluto Mission Success, New Pics Stunning

The New Horizon mission to Pluto is a success. for under the cost of a new football stadium, you too could send a ship to Pluto. After nearly 10 years in space traveling to the solar system, the New Horizon Mission is a success. Pictures started beaming back, starting with far away shots of the dwarf planet, and then higher resolutions that gave us our first glimpse of the rugged ice planet. NASA was looking for a PR boost this is it. In his capture the attention of the world and Will help them gear up for their eventual manned mission to Mars. Take a look at some of the pictures at the link below. For more: http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/newhorizons/main/index.html

Friday, July 17, 2015

2014 Warmest Year Ever, Climate Change

Climate change deniers will continue to ignore the evidence despite being people who claim to "follow the evidence". I new study has emerged, another her in the plethora of research that continues to support the conclusion that the earth is warming as result of man-made influences, that states 2014 has been the warmest year ever recorded. http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/state-of-climate-in-2014/ The American meteorological Society, has released the numbers of the state of climate change and the results aren't good. As world worms the problems multiply. The compounding effects of warmer oceans or holes in the O zone layer will be felt for decades to come. In terms of public opinion the worst problem of a deniers to to be incapable of reading sound science. The best we can hope for is that education will prevail and eventually it will sway policymakers to enact some lasting changes.

Friday, February 13, 2015

Worst Drought to Come? Climate Change to Blame?

Apart from the naysayers, who are few and far between, who deny climate change, most rational people understand that our impact on the earth is affecting the climate. The very real ways we are noticing that not only is the earth getting warmer but is also having a huge impact our environment. It's a devastating impact. Hurricanes are longer, typhoons are stronger, and snowstorms are bigger. Culturally America has to deal with these your consumerism. We have been developed to one and take whatever it is we need and have come to expect I will get it. Now ignoring a lot of rule parts America, We have taken things like freshwater, and clean water, for granted. Some places there shouldn't even be water are getting this stuff just live but also to, shockingly, water their lawns. There's a level of cultural change that needs to happen as we attempt to figure out ways to reduce our water draw. The fact remains as we are finding it harder and harder to keep our aquifers in intact. A recent study has adjusted that America is due to experienced the worst drought in 1000 years. I'm not sure who is recording thousand years ago but the fact remains there's a water problem. How we deal with it and how we'll be forced to change because of it remains to be seen. Welding is for sure it's here and now, for many it's not news at all call about for the rest of us there's a shift coming that we need to pay attention to. http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/u-s-droughts-will-be-the-worst-in-1-000-years1/